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2011 Forecast Examples


March 14, 2011

 On March 14, 2011, a “surprise” snowstorm moved across the Saint Louis area.  This storm produced 2.6 inches of snowfall at St. Louis Lambert with many reports of two to four inches across the St. Louis area.

While it may have been a “surprise” to most snow removal contractors and many in the local media, it was not a surprise to Midwest Weather Snow Management, LLC. 

As early as Saturday evening (March 12th), Midwest Weather Snow Management, LLC meteorologists recognized the potential for a burst of heavy wet snow that could accumulate on pavement areas.  Here is our brief update from 8:11 p.m. on Saturday, March 12, 2011:

We need to be wary of the possibility of a quick burst of heavy snow Sunday night into Monday morning.  While initially temperatures would be above freezing, the heavy snow would cause them to fall to near freezing.  This would allow the heavy snow to accumulate mainly on grassy areas and such, but may be heavy enough long enough to also accumulate on pavement areas.

A reasonable scenario for the St. Louis area would be a cold rain changing into a burst of heavy wet snow with accumulations mainly on grassy areas of 1 to 4 inches.  Right now it looks like the high side potential of this weather scenario would be 4 to 8 inches of a heavy wet snow.
This was followed up with with an additional forecast at 1:25 p.m. on Sunday, March 13, 2011:

Sunday night through noon Monday:  Cloudy with an 80% chance of rain possibly mixing with or changing to moderate to heavy wet snow at times towards daybreak (5am to 8am).  Accumulation, if any, will likely be around 1 to 3 inches on grassy areas with lesser amounts on pavements.  Low temperature 33.  Winds NE-E 7-14 mph.

 As a result of these forecasts (and additional updates to our Operations Manager) Midwest Weather Snow Management, LLC personnel were equipped with the knowledge they needed to efficiently and effectively service our customers.


January 24, 2011

In the early morning hours of Monday, January 24th, light freezing rain and light freezing drizzle began affecting the St. Louis area.  Here is our general forecast from 2:50 am Monday morning: 

Rest of Sunday night:  Cloudy with any light drizzle or light rain changing to light freezing drizzle or light freezing rain and ending between 3:30 am and 5:00 am.  Any accumulation is expected to be around a trace to 0.02 inch (trace to two hundredths of an inch). Temperatures are expected to fall into the mid 20’s by around 7am.

 Based on this forecast, our crews were dispatched and all properties were serviced by 6am.  Some local contractors were still servicing properties well after 9am, by which time the threat had passed since pavement temperatures were rising above the freezing mark.  During these difficult economic times, don’t you deserve the most effective use of your snow removal dollars?

January 17, 2011

On Sunday, January 16th, some in the local media were advertising a freezing drizzle/freezing event for the morning of Monday, January 17th.  Our general forecast issued at 9:45 PM Sunday evening was as follows: 

Monday:  Cloudy with a slight chance (20%) of light sleet or possibly some light freezing rain in the morning and a good chance of rain in the afternoon.  Chance of precipitation during the day on Monday is 50%.  Temperature rising above freezing between 9am and noon with a high temperature 38. 

Based on this forecast, MWSM, LLC did not pretreat or send out crews; however, our meteorologists were closely watching the weather in the event that crews would have to be dispatched.  In the end, MWSM, LLC did not service any properties during this event, although we know that some local contractors did service properties needlessly.

January 11, 2011

A  snowfall event occurred during the morning of January 11, 2011 which produced 2.9 inches of snowfall at Saint Louis Lambert.  Our general forecast issued at 10:08 p.m. on Monday, January 10, 2011 was as follows:

Rest of Monday night:  Cloudy with a near 100% chance of light to moderate and occasionally heavy snow.   Most likely timeframe to see heavy snow is from 1am through 5am.  Additional snowfall by 6am is expected to range from 1 1/2 to 3 inches.  Low temperature 26.  Winds light E, less than 10 mph.  

Tuesday:  Cloudy with a 65% chance of light to moderate snow in the morning and occasional snow showers in the afternoon.  Any moderate snow should taper off to light snow between 8am and 10am.  Additional snowfall Tuesday is expected to be around 1 inch—most of which will fall before noon.  High temperature 29.  Winds becoming W-NW during the morning and increasing to 10-20 mph with gusts to 30 mph which will cause moderate blowing and drifting of the dry, low water content snow.

This advanced knowledge of the weather conditions allowed Midwest Weather Snow Management, LLC crews to be in place ahead of the weather to protect the interests of our customers.  Isn’t that the level of service that your properties deserve?